作者单位: |
1Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Polytechnic Univ. of Bari, 4 via Orabona, Bari 70126, Italy; Guest Postdoctoral Researcher, Lund Univ.,P.O. Box 118, Lund 221 00, Sweden (corresponding author).
2Senior Lecturer, Lund Univ., Box 118, Lund 221 00, Sweden.
3Senior Research Officer, National Research Council Canada, Montreal Rd. Bldg. M-59, Room 225, Ottawa, ON, Canada K1A 0R6.
4Associate Professor, Delft Univ. of Technology, P.O. Box 5048, Delft 2600 GA, Netherlands. |
摘要: |
Several traffic modeling tools are currently available for evacuation planning and real-time decision support during emergencies. This paper reviews potential traffic-modeling approaches in the context of wildland–urban interface (WUI) fire-evacuation applications. Existing modeling approaches and features are evaluated pertaining to fire-related, spatial, and demographic factors; intended application (planning or decision support); and temporal issues. This systematic review shows the importance of the following modeling approaches: dynamic modeling structures, considering behavioral variability and route choice; activity-based models for short-notice evacuation planning; and macroscopic traffic simulation for real-time evacuation management. Subsequently, the modeling features of 22 traffic models and applications currently available in practice and the literature are reviewed and matched with the benchmark features identified for WUI fire applications. Based on this review analysis, recommendations are made for developing traffic models specifically applicable to WUI fire evacuation, including possible integrations with wildfire and pedestrian models. |