摘要: |
High Altitude Platform Systems (HAPS) are emerging aircraft and balloon-type technology that can host payloads and provide services from the stratosphere. One potential HAPS use case is to provide wireless communication services for mobile devices, such as LTE, to wildland firefighters who often operate in locations without terrestrial wireless communications coverage. In this research we analyze historical wildland fire data to provide estimates of the annual number of HAPS required to support a fire season. We apply agglomerative clustering to group historical daily satellite-based fire observations where each cluster is analogous to a required HAPS vehicle. Our lower and upper bound estimates span a range of years, communication payload footprints, the minimum days of clusters prior to launch, and categories of fires. Additionally, we consider a case where HAPS vehicles can be transferred between fires after the initial fire has dissipated. In our specific case study from 2022 “Significant” fires (greater than 40,000 acres), we approximate that either 8 balloon HAPS vehicles without considering overprovisioning for station-keeping limitations or 23 fixed-wing aircraft would be required. Overprovisioning can scale the estimate for balloon vehicles based on reader preference, and for reference, Google Loon overprovisioned by 5-10x. Furthermore, in the case where budgets are constrained and not all of the estimated HAPS vehicles can be acquired, we provide operational insight on where to deploy HAPS vehicles. Generally, in the Spring months we see that HAPS vehicles are needed in the south and southeast of the US which transitions to the north and west as the fire season progresses. |